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☆ Ukraine aid will kill Russian momentum, but won't win it the war
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-22 | by ( Tom Porter | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

A $61 billion package of US military aid for Ukraine is being signed off. AdvertisementRelief swept the front line in Ukraine on Saturday after the US voted to release a long-delayed $61 billion package of military aid to help defend against Russia's invasion. But while it's likely to help kill Russia's momentum and give Ukraine much-needed support in the coming months, experts are cautioning that it doesn't ensure victory for Ukraine. Analysts said the aid bill will bolster Ukraine's defenses against a possible planned Russian offensive this summer. AdvertisementFor Ukraine to feel confident in winning the war against Russia, it will need more military aid beyond 2024.

Persons: —, Mark Warne, Vladimir Putin, Oleksiy Goncharenko, it's, George Beebe, Donald Trump, haven't, There's Organizations: Service, CNN, US, Ukraine, Senate, CBS, Ukrainian, Financial, BI, Republican, The Financial Times, European Union Locations: Ukraine, Ukrainian, Russia

☆ Ukraine is losing its war against Russia. Here's what its defeat might look like.
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( Tom Porter | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . There is a glimmer of hope for Ukraine, with a congressional vote that could release the aid package expected this weekend. Spurling, the RAND analyst, said that a Russian victory would most likely take the form of Ukraine ceding large amounts of conquered territory to Russia. AdvertisementThis implies that Ukraine, in any scenario, will have to cede territory, either formally or informally.

Persons: —, Vladimir Putin, Putin, Oleksandr Danylyuk, Bryden Spurling, George Beebe, Ukraine's, Beebe Organizations: Service, Royal United Services Institute, of Defense, RAND Corporation, Business, CIA, RAND, NATO Locations: Ukraine, Europe, Russia, Kharkiv, Ukraine's, Russian, Zaporizhzhia, Donetsk, Moscow, NATO

☆ Ukraine was in trouble already — now it openly admits it's on track to lose
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-17 | by ( Tom Porter | Mia Jankowicz | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

On the front line in east and south Ukraine, reports say the situation is increasingly desperate, with Russia outfiring Ukraine at a rate of three to one. Senior Ukrainian military officials, talking to Politico, said that Russia could break through wherever it focuses its anticipated summer offensive. AdvertisementThe role of the WestUkraine is on a "starvation diet" for aid, George Barros, an expert at the Institute for the Study of War, told BI. Anadolu/Getty ImagesAnalysts also say that weaknesses in Russia's military are limiting the Kremlin's ability to take advantage of the situation. "For Ukraine to suffer total defeat, we'd need to see a major collapse in Ukrainian lines and morale," he said.

Persons: —, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Zelenskyy, Dmytro Kuleba, Bryden Spurling, George Barros, BI's Sinéad Baker, Barros, ATACMS, Klaus, Dietmar Gabbert, we've, Justin Bronk, Ukraine —, Politico —, Mykola Bielieskov, Spurling, George Beebe, Beebe, Ukraine it's, ferociously Organizations: Service, Republicans, Business, Patriots, Politico, Russia outfiring, Ukrainian, RAND Corporation, AP, US State Department, Institute for, Leopard, Getty, London's Royal United Services Institute, Ukraine, National Institute for Strategic Studies, Fleet, Anadolu Locations: Russian, Ukraine, Russia, Russia outfiring Ukraine, Iran, North Korea, West Ukraine, Avdiivka, Zaporizhzhia, Ukrainian, NATO, Kyiv, Avdiivkva, Dnipro

☆ Putin's plan to wear down support for Ukraine in a war of attrition seems to be working, though it's not risk-free
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-06 | by ( Tom Porter | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Putin is seeking to wear down Western support for Ukraine with a war of attrition. AdvertisementAdvertisementAt the Valdai Club conference Thursday, Russian President Vladimir Putin gloated over the potential impact of Western support for Ukraine ebbing. Meanwhile, Ukraine's economy is struggling under the weight of the conflict and it is heavily dependent on Western aid. Wagner fighters deployed in Rostov-on-Don REUTERS/StringerPutin faces threats of his ownBut there are also risks for Putin in an attrition strategy. AdvertisementAdvertisementA notable series of successes could lead to a new wave of public support for Ukraine, and damage Putin's internal credibility.

Persons: Putin, —, Vladimir Putin gloated, Kevin McCarthy, Joe Biden's, George Beebe, Beebe, Wagner, Don, Stringer Putin, –, Lawrence Freedman, Yevgeny Prigozhin Organizations: Ukraine, Putin, Service, Valdai, Republicans, Don REUTERS, King's College London, New Statesman Locations: Ukraine, Slovakia, Germany, Russia, Kyiv, Europe, Rostov, Russian, —, Moscow, Lviv

☆ Putin's plan for winning the war in Ukraine could be starting to become reality
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-05 | by ( Tom Porter | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Vladimir Putin has long bet that Western support for Ukraine will begin to weaken. The US Congress is in turmoil over Republican Party opposition to Ukraine aid. Dmitry Peskov, the Kremlin's spokesman, said the turmoil was a sign of things to come — that Western support for Ukraine would begin to collapse. AdvertisementAdvertisement"The combination could produce a tipping point at which the gradual erosion of Western support for Ukraine spills into an abrupt reduction or collapse," he wrote. The Belgian think tank Bruegel in June found popular support for Ukraine in the EU was holding firm despite a slight dip.

Persons: Vladimir Putin, —, Dmitry Peskov, Vladimir Putin's, Peskov, Kevin McCarthy, Joe Biden, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Kent Nishimura, Putin, Sergey Shoigu, George Beebe Organizations: Republican Party, Service, Kremlin, —, GOP, Pentagon, Ukraine, Germany, House, Los Angeles Times, Getty, The New York Times, Quincy Institute, Chicago Council of Global Affairs Locations: Ukraine, Slovakia, Germany, Russia, Europe, Belgian

☆ How a coup to force Putin from power could go down if he loses in Ukraine, according to former intel officers
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-06 | by ( Tom Porter | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Russia's defeat to Ukraine would be a tipping point, former intelligence officers told Insider. During his two decades in power, the Russian president has surrounded himself with an inner circle of hardline loyalists known as "the Siloviki." But in the chaotic fallout of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, Putin's grasp on power appears much less secure, former intelligence officers told Insider. The faltering invasion has prompted criticism of the Russian president that would have previously been unthinkable. Ingram cautioned that Russian defeat could provoke even broader global instability.

Persons: Russia's Vladimir Putin, —, Vladimir Putin's, he's, George Beebe, Putin, Yevgeny Prigozhin, Prigozhin, Abbas Gallyamov, Dmitry Medvedev, Nikolai Patrushev, Vyacheslav Volodin, Vladimir Putin, Russia's, Mikhail Svetlov, Philip Ingram, Beebe, RIA Novosti Ingram, Ingram, Putin's, Ramzan Kadyrov, Kadyrov, Ben Noble Organizations: Service, CIA, Wagner Group, Kremlin, CNN, Russian Security Council's, Security, RIA, NATO, University College London Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Russian, Moscow, Kremlin, Crimea, Soledar

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